First of all, in a nutshell
A technology roadmap is a map that shows what needs to be solved first before the future story will collapse. Although it may seem like a long list, it actually represents the dependency relationship of ``Assumption → Measurement → Estimation → Implementation → Verification → Social Implementation''.
If you want to see not only the meaning of the symbols on the roadmap, but also where to go in measurement, reconfiguration, implementation, verification, and social implementation after reading it, please see Five paths to follow after the roadmap.
P/M/R/I/V/D in everyday language
| Symbol | What question is it? | What will be the problem if this goes out |
|---|---|---|
| P | What we call success | The goal is not set, and the victory conditions can be changed later. |
| M | What can be measured and with what precision | In the first place, I don't know what is in the input. |
| R | What can we infer from observations | The measured signal is interpreted to have a stronger meaning than necessary. |
| I | How to move the model | Even if it looks good on paper, it may not turn in reality. |
| V | What and how to check | I can't tell if I've moved forward or if it's just an appearance. |
| D | How to be treated in society | Even if the technology works, it cannot be used due to rights and safety concerns. |
Reading order by interest
| What I'm curious about now | Symbol to read first | Next symbol |
|---|---|---|
| I want to know what I need to accomplish to move forward | P | V |
| I want to get into the limitations of EEG and fMRI | M | R |
| I want to know how the model works | R | I |
| I want to see the identity and social system | V | D |
This is a dependency, not a chronology
Even if the numbers are arranged in the order P → M → R → I → V → D, it does not mean that they will definitely go this far in this year. The important thing is that the later arguments are more vulnerable to the failures of the earlier layers. For example, if we proceed to a strong identity claim in V while M and R are ambiguous, input limitations and estimation uncertainties remain.
Next
Please check the official issue list and index in the technology roadmap text.
Go to technology roadmap →