# U1-2 uncertainty-calibration route packet This page does not change the current public six-question batch. It records one narrow route just outside that batch, so readers can see why `U1-2` is the next strongest `A`-tier candidate after `U7-1`, why `D08` stays the strongest inverse-estimation anchor for that route, and what the first public-safe artifact can honestly close. ## What was rechecked for this row - `D08 Simultaneous human intracerebral stimulation and HD-EEG, ground-truth for source localization methods` still remains the strongest current `ground-truth + intervention + inverse-validation` floor for `U1-2`. - `10.21227/7may-9q56` still resolves to the IEEE DataPort canonical page for `D08`. That page body still points readers to the public DOI route `10.25493/NXN2-05W`, while the same IEEE surface also shows subscription/access UI. Public wording therefore keeps the emphasis on the uncertainty-calibration artifact rather than on a stronger access-class claim. - When the `EEG-DATA` catalog auto-label and the live access surface disagree, this packet follows the live DOI handoff plus the artifact value of `ground-truth + intervention` rather than the catalog label alone. The public-safe point here is still the uncertainty-calibration artifact, not a stronger access-class claim. - `D11 A multi-session simultaneous EEG-fMRI dataset with online experience sampling` remains a useful public-open support family for repeating perturbation checks under richer multi-session provenance. - `D19 CerebellarTMSEEGData` remains a useful public-open support family for perturbation-family cross-checks once the `D08` ground-truth floor is fixed. - The current public six-question batch still stays unchanged: `U13-2 / U13-5 / U0-2 / U0-3 / U14-4 / U14-2`. - The practical funding bridge for this row is watch-only rather than a current public-six route: `Brain Science Foundation research grant` and `Nakatani Foundation research grant` remain the cleanest next-watch fits, and existing Todoist watch tasks already cover both lanes. ## Why `U1-2` is the next strongest route after `U7-1` - It is an `A` row: the main claim can stay inside `EEG-DATA` without requiring theory, law, or identity-overreading language. - It is measurement-first: the first artifact is an uncertainty-calibration report, not a stronger recoverability or personhood claim. - It follows `U7-1` naturally. `U7-1` fixes synchronization and provenance discipline; `U1-2` fixes whether inverse estimates keep their uncertainty bounds when conductivity, electrode loss, and noise are perturbed. ## Why `D08` stays the main anchor | Candidate | What it helps with | Why it is not the first anchor | |---|---|---| | `D08 Simultaneous human intracerebral stimulation and HD-EEG, ground-truth for source localization methods` (`10.21227/7may-9q56`, with public DOI handoff `10.25493/NXN2-05W`) | It gives the cleanest current `ground-truth + intervention + source-localization` floor, which makes it the strongest first anchor for `interval coverage`, `error increment`, and `rank stability` under repeated perturbations. | None in this run. It is the strongest first anchor for `U1-2`. | | `D11 A multi-session simultaneous EEG-fMRI dataset with online experience sampling` (`10.18112/openneuro.ds007216.v1.0.0`, immediate) | It is the strongest nearby support family for checking whether the same uncertainty rule survives richer session structure and provenance. | It is strong on synchronization and state logging, but it is not a direct ground-truth inverse-validation floor. | | `D19 CerebellarTMSEEGData` (`10.6084/m9.figshare.13082495`, immediate) | It is useful for perturbation-family cross-checks once the first uncertainty packet is fixed on `D08`. | It is better as a TMS-EEG perturbation support family than as the first direct inverse-ground-truth anchor. | ## What the first artifact can honestly close now | Artifact piece | What it closes now | What still stays outside the claim | |---|---|---| | `Inverse problem reproduction report (error/uncertainty)` | A bounded report that locks `interval coverage`, `perturbation stability`, `error increment`, and `rank stability` under repeated conductivity, missing-electrode, and noise perturbations. | Any statement that one stable inverse route already proves full recoverability across all head models, subjects, or tasks. | | `Coverage-stability table` | An explicit pass/fail table that shows where the uncertainty bounds still hold and where the row must be downgraded. | Any blanket solver-victory wording across untested model families. | | `Downgrade-rule note` | A public-safe rule that forces the claim downward whenever repeated perturbations break coverage stability or flip the ranking across methods. | Any interpretation that inverse-estimate stability by itself proves preserved mechanism, preserved identity, or successful mind preservation. | ## Funding wording that still fits | Route | Submission wording that stays honest | Why it still fits this row | |---|---|---| | `Brain Science Foundation research grant` (`watch`) | `Perturbation-tested uncertainty calibration for inverse EEG estimates in the mind-upload verification route` | The row reads naturally as a conservative inverse-validation benchmark rather than a stronger restoration claim. | | `Nakatani Foundation research grant` (`next-cycle watch`) | `Ground-truth inverse-uncertainty benchmark for reproducible EEG validation` | It fits as a BME-facing validation package, but only as a watch route because the current cycle is closed. | ## External dependency tasks that stay outside this session - Population-wide head-model identification and conductivity-prior agreement still remain outside the present repository-level artifact. - Community agreement on acceptable interval-coverage thresholds still remains outside the present packet. - Any interpretation that inverse-estimate stability proves preserved mechanism, preserved identity, or full recoverability remains outside the present route. ## What changed in this run - The public batch did not change. - The main change is that `U1-2` now has a public packet that records the strongest inverse-estimation anchor, the first artifact, and the watch-level funding bridge after `U7-1`. - This remains a route-setting update, not a solved-claim update.